The Black Swan

The Impact of the Highly Improbable

Nassim Nicholas Taleb

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Paperback

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English

Penguin
01 June 2008

Information theory; Popular philosophy; Psychology

Everything you need to know about what you don't know

What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? What can Catherine the Great's lovers tell us about probability? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans- the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them. A rallying cry to ignore the 'experts', The Black Swan shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty.

By: Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Imprint: Penguin
Country of Publication: United Kingdom
Dimensions: Height: 198mm, Width: 130mm, Spine: 28mm
Weight: 348g
ISBN: 9780141034591
ISBN 10: 0141034599
Pages: 480
Publication Date: 01 June 2008
Audience: General/trade , ELT Advanced
Format: Paperback
Publisher's Status: Active

Nassim Nicholas Taleb spends most of his time as a flaneur, meditating in cafes across the planet. A former trader, he is currently Distinguished Professor of Risk Engineering at New York University. His books Fooled by Randomness and The Black Swan have been published in thirty-one languages.

Reviews for The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable

The most prophetic voice of all * GQ * Great fun... brash, stubborn, entertaining, opinionated, curious, cajoling -- Stephen J. Dubner, co-author of Freakonomics The Black Swan changed my view of how the world works -- Daniel Kahneman, author of Thinking, Fast and Slow Confirms his status as a guru for every would-be Damien Hirst, George Soros and aspirant despot * Sunday Times * It has altered modern thinking * The Times * Like the conversation of a raconteur ... hugely enjoyable - compelling * Financial Times * A fascinating study of how we are regularly taken for suckers by the unexpected * Guardian *