Oracles, Heroes or Villains

'In this fascinating tour de force taking us from Argentina to the United States and to Europe, George Schambaugh describes and analyses with the dexterity of a spy thriller novelist the 'behind the scenes' of the 'dangerous liasions' linking officials and technocrats with senior politicians in the shaping of economic policies in times of domestic and international crises. Those technocrats are actually oracles, heroes, and villains in the domestic and international scene that shapes the international political economy of the last thirty years.' Arie M. Kacowicz, Hebrew University of Jerusalem 'Technocrats in national central banks and treasury departments often play key roles as economic policy makers in economic crises. We hear a great deal about them when they have major effects on policy, but not when they don't. But when will they be effective? In Oracles, Heroes, or Villains Prof. Shambaugh creates what he calls a risk intervention curve that helps to answer this question. He argues that effective technocrats are far more political than their reputation suggests, and that their ability to manage risk depends on a combination of this political effectiveness and economic conditions. This book is essential reading for anyone interested in monetary and financial policy-making in times of economic crisis.' J. Samuel Barkin, University of Massachusetts Boston 'Well written and scrupulously researched and documented …' M. H. Lesser, Choice