New Order in the Gulf

The Rise of the UAE

Dina Esfandiary

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Paperback

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English

I.B. Tauris
01 May 2023

Middle Eastern history; Geopolitics; Defence strategy, planning & research

For over a decade now, thinking on regional relations in the Gulf has focused on the competition for regional hegemony between Iran and Saudi Arabia. Today, this perspective is outdated. The smaller Gulf Arab states, led by the United Arab Emirates, are calling for their own goals and interests to be considered and a new regional order has emerged.

This book asesses the UAE’s increasing power and the future challenges to security it poses. It is a contemporary history and analysis of the changing role of the UAE.

Dina Esfandiary argues that the UAE has become more assertive in the pursuit of its own interests in the region and beyond - even when this puts it at odds with its regional allies. This behavior includes the build-up of its military and non-military capabilities, the diversification of its partners, and its willingness to use these resources.

The book examines the regional causes of the UAE’s growing assertiveness - especially the 2011 Arab Uprisings – as well as the international context such as the impact of the US-announced ‘Pivot to Asia’, the perceptions of waning US power in the Middle East, and the 2015 nuclear deal.

The UAE’s changing role in the region will profoundly affect regional security. This book points towards how smaller states in the region will interact with regional hegemons in the long term, as they learn from the UAE’s assertiveness and seek to imitate it.

By: Dina Esfandiary
Imprint: I.B. Tauris
Country of Publication: United Kingdom
Dimensions: Height: 216mm, Width: 138mm,
ISBN: 9780755645787
ISBN 10: 0755645782
Pages: 200
Publication Date: 01 May 2023
Audience: College/higher education , Professional and scholarly , Primary , Undergraduate
Format: Paperback
Publisher's Status: Active

Introduction Defining the change and situating it in the context of a rapidly changing region Historical overview of relations between states in the Persian Gulf, including the 2003-2011 period A discussion of domestic dynamics in the UAE: the rise of MBZ Chapter One: The Arab Uprisings: a key moment for the UAE Summary of the events An Arab Uprisings in the Persian Gulf? The impact of the Arab Uprisings on the UAE Collapse of Arab powerhouses The Perceived Rise of Iran The Perception of US influence and Power in the Region Changes in the region following the Arab Uprisings Chapter Two: The US Pivot to Asia: proof of a US departure from the region The History of the US presence in the Persian Gulf region The Pivot The impact of the Pivot on the region Chapter Three: The Iran nuclear deal: the final straw The deal itself The Gulf Arabs and the Iran nuclear crisis The impact of the deal on the UAE Chapter Four: The UAE’s Assertiveness – what does it look like? Growing capabilities Military Political and diplomatic clout Economic and Cultural influence Intent, including the UAE’s deployment in regional arenas Chapter Five: Assertiveness: The UAE’s perception of success Case Study: Yemen Post 2020: Emirati over-reach? Chapter Six: The impact of the UAE’s assertiveness for the Persian Gulf: The 2017 split Driven by the UAE Entrenchment of assertiveness for others Did Al Ula resolve the dispute? Conclusion and recommendations for the West

Dina Esfandiary is Senior Advisor in the Middle East and North Africa department of the International Crisis Group (ICG), Belgium. She worked previously at The Century Foundation, U.S and the Harvard Kennedy School's Belfer Center, U.S. She is the co-author of Triple-Axis: Iran’s Relations with Russia and China (I.B Tauris, 2018) and Living on the Edge: Iran and the?Practice of Nuclear Hedging (2016). She has also published in Foreign Affairs, The Atlantic, The Guardian, The Washington Post, The New York Times among others.

Reviews for New Order in the Gulf: The Rise of the UAE

A masterful overview of the UAE's increasing assertive regional and international relations. Drawing on a vast range of sources, and impeccably referenced, this is required reading for everyone with a scholarly and practitioner interest in the region. -- Christopher Davidson The rise of the UAE has reshaped the balance of power and the regional order within the broader Middle East. New Order in the Gulf expertly guides us through the thinking of its leadership and the contours of its evolving foreign policy. Esfandiary is fair-minded and judicious in her assessments of both the strengths and the failings of the UAE's new strategies. Her accessibly written text ranges broadly across political, economic and ideological issues, and will make for an essential text for those seeking to understand how and why the Gulf has changed. * Marc Lynch, Professor of Political Science and International Affairs, George Washington University, USA *