Modelling Potential Malaria Spread in Germany by Use of Climate Change Projections: A Risk Assessment...

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Winfried Schröder Gunther Schmidt

Modelling Potential Malaria Spread in Germany by Use of Climate Change Projections

A Risk Assessment Approach Coupling Epidemiologic and Geostatistical Measures

Winfried Schröder, Gunther Schmidt

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English

Springer International Publishing AG
08 January 2014

Epidemiology & medical statistics; Parasitology (non-medical); Meteorology & climatology; Biogeography; The environment

Series: SpringerBriefs in Environmental Science

This book investigates the spatial distribution of potential temperature-driven malaria transmissions, using the basic reproduction rate (R0) to model the reproduction of the malaria pathogen Plasmodium vivax. The authors mapped areas at risk of an outbreak of tertian malaria in the federal state of Lower Saxony (pre-study) and for whole Germany (main-study) by means of geostatistics for past (1947-2007) and future periods. Projections based on predicted monthly mean air temperature data derived from the IPCC and regionally discriminated by two regional climate models (REMO, WettReg) for the countrywide study.

By: Winfried Schröder, Gunther Schmidt
Imprint: Springer International Publishing AG
Country of Publication: Switzerland
Edition: 2014 ed.
Dimensions: Height: 235mm, Width: 155mm, Spine: 5mm
Weight: 1.182kg
ISBN: 9783319038223
ISBN 10: 3319038222
Series: SpringerBriefs in Environmental Science
Pages: 58
Publication Date: 08 January 2014
Audience: Professional and scholarly , Undergraduate
Format: Paperback
Publisher's Status: Active

1. Background and Goals.- 2. Case Study 1: Modelling Potential Transmission Gates of Malaria Tertiana in Lower Saxony.- 3. Case Study 2: Modelling Potential Transmission Gates of Malaria Tertiana in Germany.- 4. Conclusions and Outlook.