If Russia Wins

A Scenario

Carlo Masala, Olena Ebel, Ruth Ahmedzai Kemp

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English

Atlantic Books
28 August 2025

Military history: post WW2 conflicts

THE INTERNATIONAL BESTSELLER

March 2028: Russian troops capture the small Estonian town of Narva and the island of Hiiumaa in the Baltic Sea. After victory in Ukraine, Putin's long-mooted encroachment into the Baltic states has begun. Europe's slow rearmament and its compromised military and intelligence capabilities is now clear for its enemies to exploit. Does Article 5 of NATO apply? What will the alliance decide? Will they risk nuclear war?

In If Russia Wins, military expert and Professor of International Relations at the University of Munich, Carlo Masala explores these questions and underlines what is at stake in Ukraine in the starkest possible terms.

For those of us who have only ever known peace, we are accustomed to everything turning out well in the end. But what if it doesn't?

By: Carlo Masala
Translated by: Olena Ebel, Ruth Ahmedzai Kemp
Imprint: Atlantic Books
Country of Publication: United Kingdom
Edition: Main
Dimensions: Height: 198mm, Width: 129mm,
ISBN: 9781805465744
ISBN 10: 1805465740
Pages: 128
Publication Date: 28 August 2025
Audience: General/trade , College/higher education , Professional and scholarly , ELT Advanced , Primary
Format: Paperback
Publisher's Status: Forthcoming

Carlo Masala is Professor for International Politics at the Bundeswehr University Munich. He previously worked as Deputy Director in the research department at the NATO Defence College in Rome. Since January 2024, Masala has been Director of the Centre for Intelligence and Security Studies at the University of the Federal Armed Forces in Munich. He received the Lichtenberg Medal in Goldfrom the Lower Saxony Academy of Sciences in GÃ¶ttingen in 2023 for his academic work and science communication. If Russia Wins was an immediate #1 bestseller upon publication in Germany, and has since become a bestseller in the Netherlands.