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How to Predict Everything: The Formula Transforming What We Know About Life and the Universe

William Poundstone



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02 June 2020
Social forecasting, future studies; Mathematics & Sciences
How do you predict something that has never happened before?

There's a useful calculation being employed by Wall Street, Silicon Valley and maths professors all over the world, and it predicts that the human species will become extinct in 760 years. Unfortunately, there is disagreement over how to apply the formula, and some argue that we might only have twenty years left.

Originally devised by British clergyman Thomas Bayes, the theorem languished in obscurity for two hundred years before being resurrected as the lynchpin of the digital economy. With brief detours into archaeology, philology, and overdue library books, William Poundstone explains how we can use it to predict pretty much anything. What is the chance that there are multiple universes? How long will Hamilton run? Will the US stock market continue to perform as well this century as it has for the last hundred years? And are we really all doomed?
By:   William Poundstone
Imprint:   Bloomsbury
Country of Publication:   United Kingdom
Dimensions:   Height: 198mm,  Width: 129mm,  Spine: 23mm
ISBN:   9781786077561
ISBN 10:   1786077566
Pages:   320
Publication Date:   02 June 2020
Audience:   General/trade ,  ELT Advanced
Format:   Paperback
Publisher's Status:   Active

William Poundstone is the author of fourteen books, including the international bestseller Are You Smart Enough to Work at Google? He lives in Los Angeles.

Reviews for How to Predict Everything: The Formula Transforming What We Know About Life and the Universe

`Thoroughly entertaining reading and it's not hard to foresee a future in which readers everywhere will find it impossible to put down.' * <i>E&T Magazine</i> * `A fascinating sweep through so many interesting and important insights into how we can understand our future, masterfully knitted together.' -- Bobby Duffy, author of <i>The Perils of Perception</i> `One of the best science writers of our time has taken on one of the most interesting and important subjects of all time - how to predict the future under great uncertainty... A gripping read.' -- Michael Shermer, author of <i>Heavens on Earth</i> `A very interesting and definitive book on this subject.' -- J. Richard Gott, astrophysicist and author of <i>The Cosmic Web</i>

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