Historiographic Reasoning

Aviezer Tucker (University of Ostrava)

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English

Cambridge University Press
30 January 2025

History: theory & methods

Series: Elements in Historical Theory and Practice

Historiographic reasoning from evidentiary inputs is sui generis. Historiography is neither empirical, nor self-knowledge, nor a genre of fiction or ideology. Historiographic reasoning is irreducible to general scientific or social science reasoning. The book applies Bayesian insights to explicate historiographic reasoning as probable. It distinguishes epistemic transmission of knowledge from evidence from the generation of detailed historiographic knowledge from multiple coherent and independent evidentiary inputs in three modular stages. A history of historiographic reasoning since the late 18th century demonstrates that there was a historiographic scientific revolution across the historical sciences in the late 18th and early 19th centuries. The underdetermination of historiography by the evidence, counterfactual historiographic reasoning, and false reasoning and other fallacies are further explained and discussed in terms of the probabilistic relations between the evidence and historiography.

By: Aviezer Tucker (University of Ostrava)
Imprint: Cambridge University Press
Country of Publication: United Kingdom
Dimensions: Height: 229mm, Width: 152mm, Spine: 4mm
Weight: 127g
ISBN: 9781009324502
ISBN 10: 1009324500
Series: Elements in Historical Theory and Practice
Pages: 78
Publication Date: 30 January 2025
Audience: General/trade , ELT Advanced
Format: Paperback
Publisher's Status: Active

1. Historiographic reason: an introduction; 2. 'Empiricist' historiography without reasoning; 3. Historiography as self-knowledge without reason; 4. Unreasonable historiography: fiction and ideology; 5. Historiographic reasoning in unified science; 6. Historiographic reasoning as social science; 7. Bayesian foundations of historiographic reasoning; 8. Transmission vs. Generation of historiographic knowledge; 9. Generative historiographic reasoning in three stages; 10. History of historiographic reasoning; 11. Underdetermination: the limits of historiographic reasoning; 12. Counterfactual historiographic reasoning; 13. Historiographic reasoning in contexts; 14. Invalid and false historiographic reasoning; 15. Conclusion: the historical sciences; References.