David Hendry is professor of economics, Oxford University and director of economic modelling, Institute for New Economic Thinking. Michael Clements is professor of econometrics, Henley Business School. Jennifer Castle is tutorial fellow, Oxford University and research fellow at Institute for New Economic Thinking.
For a non-technical guide to economic forecasting, there could be nothing better than Forecasting: An Essential Introduction by Jennifer Castle, Michael Clements and David Hendry. It is a crystal clear and intuitive explanation of what macroeconomic forecasts can and can't do - The Enlightened Economist Very welcome and much needed. - Philip Hans Franses A tidy and beautiful introduction to opportunities, pitfalls, and new directions in economic forecasting, reflecting the distilled wisdom of researchers at the frontier of their field. - Professor Francis X. Diebold, author of Elements of Forecasting It's a topsy-turvy world, but we all must have a view on where it is headed: from the business owner hiring a new employee to the renter becoming a homeowner. Of course, there are accurate forecasts and off-base ones. Forecasting may not turn you into Warren Buffet, but it will ensure that you avoid a forecasting blunder. - Mark Zandi, Chief Economist of Moody's Analytics and author of Financial Shock and Paying the Price