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Empirical Modeling in Economics

Specification and Evaluation

Clive W. J. Granger (University of California, San Diego) Geoff Harcourt

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Hardback

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English
Cambridge University Press
25 October 1999
In these three essays, Professor Granger explains the process of constructing and evaluating an empirical model. Drawing on a wide range of cases and vignettes from economics, finance, politics and environment economics, as well as from art, literature, and the entertainment industry, Professor Granger combines rigor with intuition to provide a unique and entertaining insight into one of the most important subjects in modern economics. Chapter 1 deals with Specification. Chapter 2 considers Evaluation, and argues that insufficent evaluation is undertaken by economists, and that models should be evaluated in terms of the quality of their output. In Chapter 3, the question of how to evaluate forecasts is considered at several levels of increasing depth.

By:  
Foreword by:  
Imprint:   Cambridge University Press
Country of Publication:   United Kingdom
Dimensions:   Height: 224mm,  Width: 146mm,  Spine: 13mm
Weight:   269g
ISBN:   9780521662086
ISBN 10:   0521662087
Pages:   112
Publication Date:  
Audience:   Professional and scholarly ,  College/higher education ,  Undergraduate ,  Primary
Format:   Hardback
Publisher's Status:   Active
Foreword G. Harcourt; 1. The specification of empirical models; 2. The evaluation of empirical models; 3. Comments on the evaluation of econometric models and of forecasts.

Winner of The Nobel Prize for Economics 2003.

Reviews for Empirical Modeling in Economics: Specification and Evaluation

'Wide ranging in scope [these essays] condense a large amount of material into a short book ... they contain a lot of wisdeom and illuminating insights.' The Times Higher Education Supplement ...explains how an empirical economist approaches the task of constructing a model and how economic models and forecasts can be evaluated. Journal of Economic Literature Granger wants to tell the world something about model assessment, a topic that he believes has not gotten the attention it deserves. In doing so, he gives us a short book that is easy to read and accessible to undergraduate students. Many graduate students whould also benefit from reading the book, especially the first two chapters which give a clear account of many problems associated with econometric modeling and testing. Although we all know the message, Granger has done econometrics teachers a service by writing this book. Eastern Economic Journal ...contains a wealth of unconventional ideas. JASA


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