Climate Adaptation and Conflict Mitigation: The Case of South Sudan

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Ore Koren (Indiana University Bloomington) Jerry Urtuzuastigui (Indiana University Bloomington)

Climate Adaptation and Conflict Mitigation

The Case of South Sudan

Ore Koren (Indiana University Bloomington), Jerry Urtuzuastigui (Indiana University Bloomington)

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English

Cambridge University Press
12 June 2025

Military history; Non-governmental organisations (NGOs); Global warming

Series: Organizational Response to Climate Change: Businesses, Governments

As climate change intensifies, conflict-prone tropical regions face heightened vulnerabilities, yet little is known about how climate adaptation and food security efforts affect conflict dynamics. Using South Sudan – a country highly susceptible to climate stress and conflict – as a test case, this Element analyzes how international nongovernmental organizations' (INGO) climate adaptation interventions influence civil war and local social conflicts. It develops a theoretical framework linking climate adaptation to conflict, positing both positive and negative externalities. Drawing on original high-resolution data on INGO-driven adaptation and food security efforts, alongside climate, conflict, and development data, findings are substantiated with interviews from policy workers in South Sudan. The results indicate that while adaptation generally does not reduce conflict, interventions that promote preparedness and are implemented during periods of high climate stress can mitigate social conflicts between militias, pastoralists, and farmers. These insights provide guidance for designing climate adaptation strategies that reduce conflict risks.

By: Ore Koren (Indiana University Bloomington), Jerry Urtuzuastigui (Indiana University Bloomington)
Imprint: Cambridge University Press
Country of Publication: United Kingdom
Weight: 296g
ISBN: 9781009510769
ISBN 10: 1009510762
Series: Organizational Response to Climate Change: Businesses, Governments
Pages: 106
Publication Date: 12 June 2025
Audience: General/trade , ELT Advanced
Format: Hardback
Publisher's Status: Active

1. Introduction; 2. Typology and definitions; 3. Pathways to conflict and conflict mitigation; 4. Empirical analysis; 5. Lessons for climate and climate adaptation-conflict research and policy; 6. Conclusion; References.