A history of urban travel demand modeling (UTDM) and its enormous influence on American life from the 1920s to the present.
A history of urban travel demand modeling (UTDM) and its enormous influence on American life from the 1920s to the present.
For better and worse, the automobile has been an integral part of the American way of life for decades. Its ascendance would have been far less spectacular, however, had engineers and planners not devised urban travel demand modeling (UTDM). This book tells the story of this irreplaceable engineering tool that has helped cities accommodate continuous rise in traffic from the 1950s on. Beginning with UTDM's origins as a method to help plan new infrastructure, Konstantinos Chatzis follows its trajectory through new generations of models that helped make optimal use of existing capacity and examines related policy instruments, including the recent use of intelligent transportation systems.
Chatzis investigates these models as evolving entities involving humans and nonhumans that were shaped through a specific production process. In surveying the various generations of UTDM, he delves into various means of production (from tabulating machines to software packages) and travel survey methods (from personal interviews to GPS tracking devices and smartphones) used to obtain critical information. He also looks at the individuals who have collectively built a distinct UTDM social world by displaying specialized knowledge, developing specific skills, and performing various tasks and functions, and by communicating, interacting, and even competing with one another.
Original and refreshingly accessible, Forecasting Travel in Urban America offers the first detailed history behind the thinkers and processes that impact the lives of millions of city dwellers every day.
By:
Konstantinos Chatzis
Imprint: MIT Press
Country of Publication: United States
Dimensions:
Height: 229mm,
Width: 152mm,
Weight: 567g
ISBN: 9780262048101
ISBN 10: 0262048108
Pages: 416
Publication Date: 15 August 2023
Audience:
General/trade
,
ELT Advanced
Format: Paperback
Publisher's Status: Active
Series Foreword ix Acknowledgments xi List of Abbreviations xv Introduction 1 I The Emergence, Development, and Rise to Prominence of the Four-Step Model, Interwar Years--1960s 1 Counting and Forecasting Traffic in the Interwar Years 27 2 The Aggregate and Zone-Based Four-Step Model Takes Center Stage 45 II Giving the Four-Step Model a New Lease on Life, 1970s and 1980s 3 Travelers Are Utility-Maximizing Rational Individuals 93 4 Seeking Equilibrium on the Transportation Network 123 III Urban Travel Demand Modeling Enters the Post-Four-Step Model Era, 1990s-2010s 5 Traffic Forecasting's Attempted Manhattan Project 149 6 Travelers Are Social Beings 175 7 Modeling Variable Flows, and the (Probable) End of an Era 203 Conclusion 229 Notes 251 Index 385
Konstantinos Chatzis is Professor at cole des Ponts ParisTech and a tenured researcher at the Universite Gustave Eiffel.
Reviews for Forecasting Travel in Urban America: The Socio-Technical Life of an Engineering Modeling World
“This text represents an outstanding research effort.” —Choice Reviews “Forecasting Travel in Urban America represents an important contribution to the history of the—often little-noticed—foundations of mobility.” —Technology and Culture “Chatzis’s text is a well-documented resource for students and modelers looking to find ways to make an impact in the field. As society faces multiple grand challenges of growing frequency and severity across social, environmental, economic, and public health domains, Chatzis’s chronological history of the development of transportation demand models reveals both new and age-old challenges in modeling people’s behavior and responses to changes in the transportation system and land development.” —Journal of the American Planning Association