Cultures of Prediction in Atmospheric and Climate Science

Predicting the (climatic) future is never an innocent or neutral act. Climate predictions emerge from particular value-laden cultures; hence these predicted futures exert a powerful control over the present. For this reason, the 'black-box' of climate prediction needs critical scrutiny from the social and humanistic sciences, a task brilliantly executed in this new collection of essays. - Mike Hulme, professor of climate and culture, King's College London This is a truly outstanding survey of the cultures of prediction in the field of atmospheric and climate science. Through case studies and illustrative examples drawn from a wide range of countries and disciplines, the authors skillfully trace both epistemic and cultural shifts in modelling and simulation techniques. - Helmuth Trischler, Head of Research of the Deutsches Museum, Munich, and Director of the Rachel Carson Center for Environment and Society, University of Munich Prediction is everywhere in our societies but we usually do not interrogate how we actually do predictions, including in environmental sciences. Cultures of Prediction is thus essential reading - and a fascinating set of case studies. But more, it illuminates beautifully the culture and politics of expertise in global environmental change. - Mark Carey, Associate Professor of History and Environmental Studies, Clark Honors College, University of Oregon Cultures of Prediction brings together a wonderfully rich kaleidoscope of empirical perspectives to create a new vision for the social study of atmospheric and climate science. The unifying focus on computer modelling and simulation represents a substantial and very timely intellectual achievement. It is an indispensable resource for academics and practitioners alike. - Phaedra Daipha, Rutgers University, author of Masters of Uncertainty: Weather Forecasters and the Quest for Ground Truth Because it addresses weather and climate models from multiple perspectives, scholars from science and social science disciplines will find this book of interest as it touches on the intersection of science and politics in model development, knowledge development, and applications. - Kristine C. Harper, Associate Professor of History, Department of History, Florida State University, Tallahassee