How to Predict the Unpredictable

The Art of Outsmarting Almost Everybody

William Poundstone

$29.99

Paperback

Not in-store but you can order this
How long will it take?

Availability Information

We source books from suppliers in Australia and overseas. For books we don't currently have in stock, the time it takes to get them from our suppliers can vary widely - from a few days to a few months - so we check each book with each supplier to determine the expected time it will take to be supplied to us.

We then advise you accordingly. If the time taken to get any book is too long for you, you can let us know and we will cancel or adjust your order, and refund as required.

To find out the anticipated arrival time for specific items prior to ordering, please contact us by phone or email:

Phone +61 2 9264 3111, or 1800 4 BOOKS (1800 4 26657) if outside Sydney:
option 1 Abbey's Bookshop (Crime, History, Science, Kids & more) • info@abbeys.com.au
option 2 Language Book Centre (ESL & Foreign Languages) • language@abbeys.com.au
option 3 Galaxy Bookshop (Sci-fi, Fantasy, Romance, Graphic Novels) • sf@galaxybooks.com.au

QTY:

English

One World
22 October 2014

Psychology; Personal finance; Popular psychology

We are hard-wired to believe that the world is more predictable than it is. We chase ‘winning streaks’ that are often just illusions, and we are all too predictable exactly when we try hardest not to be.

In the 1970s, Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky coined the phrase ‘representativeness’ to describe the psychology of this behaviour. Since then representativeness has been used by auditors to catch people fiddling their tax returns and by hedge fund managers to reap billions from the emotions of small investors. Now Poundstone for the first time makes these techniques fun, easy, and profitable for everyone, in the everyday situations that matter. You’ll learn how to tackle multiple choice tests, what internet passwords to avoid, how to up your odds of winning the office Premier League sweepstakes, and the best ways to invest your money.

By: William Poundstone
Imprint: One World
Country of Publication: United Kingdom
Dimensions: Height: 225mm, Width: 146mm, Spine: 22mm
Weight: 240g
ISBN: 9781780744070
ISBN 10: 1780744072
Pages: 304
Publication Date: 22 October 2014
Audience: General/trade , ELT Advanced
Format: Paperback
Publisher's Status: Active

Author Website: http://http://home.williampoundstone.net/

William Poundstone is the author of fourteen books, including the international bestseller Are You Smart Enough to Work at Google? He lives in Los Angeles.

Reviews for How to Predict the Unpredictable: The Art of Outsmarting Almost Everybody

'Poundstone is a smart thinker, a deft writer and a spinner of engaging tales... enjoyable and original' -- Tim Harford 'Intriguing and immensely useful.' Publishers Weekly 'Ingenious... a delightful addition to the everything-you-thought-you-knew-is-wrong genre.' Kirkus Reviews